Vestri take on Fram in the round 12 match of Icelandic Besta Deild Karla. The match will be played on Thursday, June 27th at Kerecis Stadium (Ísafjörður).
A year ago, Vestri was playing in the second division of the country. I highly doubt that this team will be able to establish itself in the elite of Icelandic football, even for a year. At least, the start of the championship has been very weak for the team – after 11 rounds, Vestri is positioned third from the bottom of the table. Out of all 11 games, they have only managed three wins. In the last seven rounds, they have secured victory just once. And after that, the team suffered two losses: to Fylkir (2-3) and Valur (1-5). As for the total goals, at least two goals were scored in nine out of 11 league matches.
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It’s worth noting that Fram, along with their opponents, also managed to hit the over 1.5 goals mark in 9 out of 11 championship matches. Why this information is relevant will be clear at the end of the prediction. In the table, the "Blue-Whites" are not much higher than their opponents, having just three more points. However, while the hosts of the upcoming match have suffered 7 defeats in 11 rounds of the championship, Fram has only four. Notably, the loss to KA Akureyri (2-3) last week was the team's first away defeat this season. Previously, in away games, the "Blue-Whites" took points from KR Reykjavik (1-0), Valur (1-1), Stjarnan (1-1), and Hafnarfjörður (3-3).
Essentially, we are looking at a match between two teams that are approximately equal in strength. In such a situation, I find it reasonable to cover two of the three potential outcomes with a double chance bet (X2). Why do I favor the visitors with the double chance? They have more experience in the top league, three more points in the standings. And while the number of wins is the same for both teams in the championship, the number of losses for Fram is almost half. Moreover, in head-to-head meetings, Vestri has not yet won against Fram. They even lost to them this season (0-2). I predict that the "Blue-Whites" will at least avoid defeat in this duel. And together, the teams will score a minimum of two goals. My prediction is X2 + over 1.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Fram not to lose and Over 1.5 scored goals.