Stjarnan take on Vikingur Reykjavik in the round 12 match of Icelandic Besta Deild Karla. The match will be played on Thursday, June 27th at Stjornuvollur (Gardabaer).
Historically, the strongest aspect of the team from Gardabaer has been their home matches. If Stjarnan played away games even half as well as they perform on their home field, the team would always be competing for medals. This season, the "Star" has collected 13 out of their 16 points at home, which places them in the top 6 of the table. At the very start, Stjarnan lost at home to KR Reykjavik, but since then, they have remained undefeated at their venue for five games: victories over Valur (1-0), Akranes (4-1), KA Akureyri (5-0), and Hafnarfjörður (4-2).
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Vikingur Reykjavik is the reigning champion. Regardless of the match, they are always considered the favorite, and this derby is no exception. However, the "Vikings" have already suffered one defeat this season away from their stadium, losing to the not-so-strong HK Kopavogur (1-3). The "Red-Blacks" still lead the league table, but their home win over Fylkir is their only victory in their last four league matches. In the others, the "Vikings" shared points with their opponents: draws with Breidablik (1-1), KR Reykjavik (1-1), and Valur (2-2).
Essentially, this match can also be considered a derby, as Stjarnan is a team from the suburbs of the capital. It's clear that the favorites in this match are the visitors. However, Vikingur has almost stopped winning lately. Moreover, the "Star" looks excellent in their home matches. I wouldn't rule out the possibility of the hosts causing an upset and taking points from the country's champions. Yes, in the last four head-to-head meetings, the "Vikings" were stronger. But only once did this happen on the opponent's territory. In general, in the recent clashes between these teams, Stjarnan has managed to take points from the favorite four times. My prediction is 1X (Stjarnan to win or draw).
Prediction for the match: Stjarnan not to lose (1X).
