St. Pauli take on the visitors Hamburger in the round 19 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Friday, January 23rd at Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).
St. Pauli are not particularly successful on the pitch, although they are famous for their fans in the stands. Their return to Bundesliga 1 was marked by a notable achievement, as they managed to finish 14th and stay up — although luck played a part, with only 32 points collected, less than an average of one per match. After a strong start this season, Blessin's team began losing almost every game from mid-September until the end of autumn. However, in December they managed to get past Borussia Mönchengladbach in the cup and ended the year in the Bundesliga with a couple of draws and a win over Heidenheim. In 2026, though, matches against Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund ended in defeats. Their form has been inconsistent, showing flashes of promise but often falling short against top teams. The team will need to tighten their defense and maintain focus if they want to avoid another relegation battle.
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Hamburg finally managed to return. The "Dinosaurs" are aptly named — once, they were the only team to play every season in Bundesliga 1 without exception. Yet, after relegation, they struggled for years to return. More than that, they practically settled in 4th place, only once failing in the promotion playoffs. It was only last season that they finally achieved a result sufficient for direct promotion. Bundesliga performance has been mixed so far, and they were eliminated on penalties by the modest Holstein in the cup. The important thing is that they are picking up points steadily in the league, with wins coming regularly. After the winter break, they started with a 1-2 defeat to Freiburg, but then managed a draw against Borussia Mönchengladbach, although it was a goalless one. Their current momentum shows they are hard to beat at home and are slowly building confidence for the second half of the season. If they maintain their consistency, they could climb higher in the standings than expected.
In the last 11 derbies, the "Pirates" lost three times and took six wins, including a 2-0 victory against the Bundesliga newcomer this season in August away from home. The pair is considered fairly evenly matched. So, even though this will be a highly principled derby, it is not expected to be spectacular — we predict that the match will finish with "under 2.5 goals."
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
