St Gallen take on the visitors Fiorentina in the round 3 match of UEFA Conference League group stage. The match will be played on Thursday, October 24th at Kybunpark (St. Gallen).
St. Gallen has returned to European competition after a brief absence, but Massimo Maccini's team has been more inconsistent this season compared to the last. The white-and-greens haven’t changed their attacking style of play, but they are currently going through a slump with four consecutive matches without a win. This has dropped them to 6th place in the Swiss Super League following a 1-2 loss to Basel last weekend. Their debut in the Conference League was one to forget. They played far too openly against Cercle Brugge in Belgium and suffered a humiliating 2-6 defeat, leaving them in last place (36th) after the first round of this revamped tournament. St. Gallen's defense struggles due to their attacking approach, but their matches are full of entertainment, so their upcoming clash with Fiorentina should also be high on attacking football.
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This season, "La Viola" is aiming not just to make it out of the group stage. The main difference from the last two seasons is that Fiorentina starts with a clean slate under a new coach, Raffaele Palladino. He previously managed Monza, and this season has taken a step up. However, his tenure began on a rough note — Fiorentina barely made it through to the group stage, defeating Puskás Akadémia only on penalties. In Serie A, the team had several draws early on, but recently, players like Gudmundsson, Cataldi, Colpani, Kean, Bove, and Adli have started to gel. They kicked off the Conference League with a 2-0 win over Welsh side TNS, followed by two crucial victories in Serie A: a 2-1 home win over Milan and a 6-0 thrashing of Lecce away after the international break. Fiorentina has scored at least 2 goals in each of their last three matches, and they should contribute significantly to the overall goal tally in this encounter, thanks to their superior experience and quality.
This will be the first-ever meeting between the two teams, and it promises plenty of goals, with a classic "over" bet looking very promising. Both teams play open, attacking football — St. Gallen has been doing so for the last five years, while Fiorentina is enjoying a fruitful period under their new coach. Given both teams' styles, a high-scoring game seems inevitable. Defensively, neither side can be called solid, especially St. Gallen, who have conceded in 10 straight matches. As such, an "over" on total goals seems very likely here. In my opinion, bookmakers are offering high odds on over 2.5 goals, which presents great value (in reality, it should be no higher than 1.5), so we should take advantage of that.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 scored goals.
