Slovenia take on the visitors Norway in the round 5 match of UEFA Nations League group stage. The match will be played on Thursday, November 14th at Stadion Stožice (Ljubljana).
Slovenia is finally starting to show potential. The "boys" have long played a secondary role. Last year was an unexpected breakthrough, with the team playing consistently and successfully in the qualifiers. Their reward was a spot at the Euros—their first "big" tournament after a long break. They performed respectably, albeit in a unique way, as they neither won nor lost a single game, ending each match in a draw. They finished 1-1 with Denmark and Serbia (conceding an equalizer from Serbia on a last-minute corner), and 0-0 with England and, in the round of 16, Portugal. Then came the shootout where Diogo Costa stole the show, not letting in a single goal. Slovenia's performance in the Nations League was rather inconsistent. Six of their seven wins came from beating the underdog, Kazakhstan. Meanwhile, they drew with Austria at home and suffered a 0-3 defeat in Norway in October.
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Norway have shown little on the football stage, apart from a brief period at the turn of the century. Even the current generation, led by Ødegaard and Haaland, has delivered only mediocre results over several qualification campaigns, including in 2023. Moreover, the Scandinavians stumbled in Almaty, starting with a 0-0 draw against Kazakhstan—the only point taken by Cherchesov with his current team. Later, the team managed to defeat its main competitors, Austria and Slovenia, at home. However, in their last match, they suffered a humiliating 1-5 loss at the Waldstadion.
The Scandinavians have won 7 out of their 12 head-to-head encounters. However, their second loss came recently, in 2022. This will be a tough contest where success is crucial. This is likely to impact scoring, so we expect "under 2.5 goals" in total.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.