Sao Paulo take on the visitors Vasco da Gama in the round 30 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Thursday, October 17th at Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas).
São Paulo, after 29 rounds of the Brazilian Série A Betano, sits in 5th place, which grants qualification for next year’s edition of South America’s most prestigious tournament, the Copa Libertadores. The "Tricolor" has already gotten a taste of this tournament, having recently played in the quarterfinals against Botafogo, the current league leaders. The regular time ended in a 1-1 draw, and only in a penalty shootout were the tournament favorites able to knock out São Paulo. Now, the team can fully focus all their efforts on the domestic championship and aim to finish as high as possible in the standings. In the recent championship matches, São Paulo has alternated between wins and losses in their last five rounds. However, they perform much better at home, which is a characteristic of this league, where home teams tend to win more often. São Paulo boasts 10 wins, 2 draws, and only 3 losses in 15 home matches. Their star player and leader, Lucas Moura, is in great shape and ready to take part in the match.
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Vasco da Gama is in a slightly worse position than their current opponents, sitting in 10th place with 37 points but with a game in hand. Competing for a top-six finish will be challenging for Vasco, but with 10 rounds remaining, anything is still possible. In addition to the Brazilian championship, Vasco is also fighting to reach the final of the Copa do Brasil. In the first leg of the semifinals, which took place in Belo Horizonte, the hometown of Atlético Mineiro, Francisco Zubeldía's side, despite leading during the match, lost 2-1. The return leg in Rio de Janeiro, happening in just four days, will likely be much more important for Vasco than today’s game against São Paulo. Vasco’s squad includes several star players, such as Dimitri Payet and Philippe Coutinho. However, Vasco has struggled in away matches, with only 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. On a positive note, they haven’t lost in their last four away games.
São Paulo and Vasco da Gama have already met in this championship, during the 11th round, when Vasco crushed their opponents 4-1. The upcoming match will be fueled by a desire for revenge from the home side. São Paulo is higher in the standings and is the favorite for this match, mainly because they are playing at home, a significant factor. Additionally, Vasco has an upcoming crucial semifinal against Atlético Mineiro in just three days, with their priority clearly being to reach the final of the prestigious cup. Considering all these factors, it’s likely that São Paulo will seek revenge for their previous defeat, as they are now out of all other tournaments and can focus solely on the regular championship matches.
Prediction for the match: Sao Paulo to win.
