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Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction 30 August 2025

Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction 30 August 2025

Real Madrid take on the visitors Mallorca in the round 3 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Saturday, August 30th at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

Real Madrid were strong and successful two seasons ago. But after winning the UEFA Super Cup and the Intercontinental Cup in 2024, the Spanish giants collapsed everywhere this year — they failed against Arsenal in the Champions League and struggled badly in all domestic tournaments, suffering defeats to Barcelona. As a result, Ancelotti was released early to coach the Brazil national team by the summer. His replacement, Xabi Alonso, who brought in a couple of new signings, did not convince at the Club World Cup, losing to PSG. In La Liga, after adding a few more talents, the “Galacticos” started unconvincingly, scraping a controversial 1-0 win over Osasuna thanks to a disputed penalty. Against Oviedo, they finished 3-0, but needed two late goals in the final 10 minutes to secure the result. Recently, their performances have raised concerns, as Real lack consistency and depend too heavily on individual brilliance. However, with such squad depth, they remain favorites in most domestic fixtures.

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Mallorca are holding a fairly decent level. The “Bermellones” were once considered a “yo-yo club,” not only dropping into the Segunda but also briefly visiting the third tier of Spanish football. But Javier Aguirre did well on the island, keeping them from relegation to the Segunda and even reaching a cup final. His successor, Jagoba Arrasate, who took over a year ago, aimed to push for European competition, but finished last spring with 48 points in 10th place. This season, they started with a 0-3 home defeat, but it was against Barcelona, and the hosts had a man sent off before halftime. They then hosted a solid opponent in Celta Vigo, where they managed to equalize late, in the 87th minute, to settle for a 1-1 draw. Mallorca’s defensive discipline remains a strength, though their attack often struggles to convert chances. Still, their resilience makes them a tricky opponent, especially against bigger clubs.

In the last five meetings, the “Royal Club” have won four times with one draw. In 2025, the capital giants beat Mallorca both in the Super Cup and in La Liga. Despite all the questions surrounding their form, “Los Blancos” are clearly stronger. The bet here is that they won’t just edge the game — back the hosts to win with a handicap of “-1.5 goals.”

Prediction for the match: Real Madrid to win with -1.5 handicap.

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Dylan McLaughlin
Football tipster