Real Madrid take on the visitors Atletico Madrid in the first leg of UEFA Champions League round of 1/8-finals. The match will be played on Tuesday, March 4th at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu (Madrid).
Real Madrid has delivered mixed results this season. Los Blancos, under Carlo Ancelotti, tend to alternate between dominant campaigns and inconsistent ones. In 2024, they secured both the Spanish Super Cup and La Liga, while once again claiming the Champions League title. The current season has also seen some silverware, as they lifted the UEFA Super Cup in August with a convincing win over Atalanta and later added the Intercontinental Cup at the end of the year. However, their form dipped after that, suffering a heavy defeat against Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup final. Their domestic ambitions remain uncertain, as both La Liga and the Copa del Rey semifinal stage are still wide open. In Europe, Madrid lost three of their first five group-stage matches in the Champions League, raising concerns. However, they recovered brilliantly, stringing together consecutive victories, including back-to-back wins over Manchester City in the knockout rounds. Despite their recent resurgence in Europe, Real Madrid’s domestic form has been shaky, with defensive lapses proving costly in key matches.
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Atlético narrowly secured fourth place in La Liga last season, edging past Athletic Club but losing to them in the Copa del Rey semifinals. Finishing behind surprise package Girona was a wake-up call, prompting Diego Simeone and the club’s management to undergo a squad overhaul. They invested heavily in reinforcements, with Álvarez’s signing marking a club-record transfer. After a slow start, Atlético found their rhythm, keeping pace with Real Madrid and Barcelona in the league while also battling Barça in the Copa del Rey semifinals. Their Champions League journey mirrored their domestic campaign: they struggled early, suffering two defeats in October, but rebounded impressively with a string of victories, securing direct qualification to the Round of 16 after defeating RB Leipzig. Atlético’s defensive structure has improved significantly, allowing them to grind out results even against top opposition.
The Madrid Derby has been highly competitive recently, with each of the last five meetings ending in high-scoring draws after regulation time. Los Blancos are favored, but recent history suggests another tight contest. A solid betting option is Both Teams to Score (BTTS).
Prediction for the match: Both teams to score.
