PSG take on the visitors Toulouse in the round 12 match of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Friday, November 22nd at Parc des Princes (Paris).
In 11 rounds, PSG has secured nine victories and two draws, resulting in a well-deserved lead at the top of the table, six points clear of their nearest rival. However, true to their character, the Parisians lack a reliable defense. Their style seems to follow the mantra: "Score as much as you can against us; we'll score more against you." This attacking bias often leaves their defense exposed, as evidenced by the fact that PSG has conceded in eight of their 11 Ligue 1 matches this season. Even at home, Luis Enrique's side has struggled to keep clean sheets, with matches like 4-2 against Strasbourg, 3-1 against Rennes, and 3-1 against Brest. In their most recent outing, they allowed two goals against newly promoted Angers. PSG’s defensive issues are further exacerbated by squad problems. Nuno Mendes is sidelined with an injury, and Marquinhos is suspended due to yellow card accumulation, increasing the chances of Toulouse finding the back of the net.
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Toulouse are a solid mid-table side with momentum. Toulouse has established itself as a respectable mid-table team in Ligue 1 in recent years. Although they currently sit in 10th place, they approach the clash with PSG in high spirits. After experiencing a significant slump early in the season, the "Purple" team has turned things around with a four-match unbeaten streak in the league, collecting 10 points out of a possible 12. This run includes victories over Montpellier (3-0), Rennes (2-0), and Reims (1-0), along with a draw against Angers (1-1). Even during their losses earlier in the season to Lille (1-2), Lyon (1-2), and Marseille (1-2), Toulouse consistently managed to score. Their attacking leaders are in great form: Moroccan Zakaria has delivered three goals and two assists in the last three rounds, while Norwegian Joshua King has notched four goals and one assist in his previous four league appearances.
PSG will undoubtedly be the favorite in any Ligue 1 match, and this one is no exception. However, their defensive vulnerabilities cannot be ignored. For this reason, a bet on Toulouse to score seems promising, especially given PSG’s record of just three clean sheets in 11 Ligue 1 games this season. Meanwhile, Toulouse has failed to score in only two of their 11 league matches. Looking at recent head-to-head encounters in Ligue 1 (excluding the Super Cup), PSG has consistently conceded against Toulouse in their last three meetings: a 2-1 win, a 1-1 draw, and even a 1-3 loss back in May. Toulouse’s attacking prowess, coupled with the tendency of top teams to slip up after international breaks, suggests that the visitors have a realistic chance to trouble PSG. While an upset could be on the cards, the recommended bet is Toulouse to score at least one goal (Toulouse Over 0.5).
Prediction for the match: Toulouse to score – yes.
