PSG take on the visitors Atletico Madrid in the round 4 match of UEFA Champions League group stage. The match will be played on Wednesday, November 6th at Parc des Princes (Paris).
PSG is trying to prove it can excel without superstars, but it’s not all smooth sailing. In 2023, PSG parted ways with many high-profile veterans, from Sergio Ramos to Neymar and Messi. Yet Luis Enrique managed to maintain domestic dominance, winning all possible French trophies. He also led his revamped squad to the Champions League semifinals, even though some luck was involved in knocking out Barcelona. But then, PSG’s top star Mbappé left the project. Notably, instead of replacing him with big names, the club invested in promising but relatively low-profile players. In Ligue 1, the season started fairly well. However, their Champions League campaign nearly began with a scoreless draw against debutants Girona—only to be saved by a comical own goal from Gazzaniga in stoppage time. They then lost 0-2 to Arsenal and managed only a draw against PSV after conceding first.
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Last season, Atlético returned to the Champions League playoffs, a feat they hadn’t achieved the previous year, and reached the Copa del Rey semifinals. Yet, underwhelming results led to a major squad overhaul. They sold Morata and Omorodion, let Savic, Hermoso, and even Depay leave as free agents, and loaned out Saúl and João Félix. Meanwhile, the Madrid club spent big on Le Normand, Gallagher, Sørloth, and Álvarez—but results have been disappointing. In the Champions League, after a 2-1 victory over RB Leipzig, they were thrashed 0-4 by Benfica and lost 1-3 at home to Lille, the turning point being a highly controversial penalty.
The clubs have only met in unofficial tournaments. They drew in the 2009 Emirates Cup, and nine years later, PSG won 3-2 at the International Champions Cup. PSG is the favorite, but it seems their strength may be overestimated. The recommendation here is to back Diego Simeone’s side with a “+1.0 goal” handicap.
Prediction for the match: Atletico Madrid to win with +1.0 handicap.
