Portugal take on the visitors Poland in the round 5 match of UEFA Nations League group stage. The match will be played on Friday, November 15th at Estádio do Dragão (Porto).
Portugal have avoided significant failures, though they haven’t replicated their successes like the Euro 2016 victory or winning the first Nations League. Fernando Santos, who achieved those titles, ended his time with the team after the last World Cup. His replacement, Martinez, has looked strong in qualifying. However, the Euro performance was less convincing: the loss to Georgia in the group stage could be attributed to prior wins over the Czechs and Turks, though they benefited from opponents' mistakes. In the playoffs, they edged out Slovenia on penalties after a scoreless game but were eliminated by France in the same fashion. Ronaldo showed little in this stretch, failing to score. Despite the lack of flair, the team is steadily advancing through the Nations League. They defeated all opponents in the first round but were held to a 0-0 draw in Glasgow last round.
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Poland struggles to maintain their standard. The “Eagles” were recently considered a strong team, but for recent tournaments — the 2022 World Cup and this summer’s Euro — they qualified only through playoffs. In the finals, though, they failed to impress. In Germany, under a favorable format, Lewandowski and his squad didn’t even reach the knockout stage, losing to the Netherlands and Austria and finishing with a draw against France. Despite this, Probierz retained his coaching position, though autumn in the Nations League has seen more setbacks than successes. They defeated Scotland, the division’s newcomer, but managed only a home draw against Croatia after losing the away match, and they were defeated by Portugal 1-3.
The “Chosen Ones” remain unbeaten in the last six meetings. However, they’ve won only twice in regular time, with the other matches ending in draws. Martinez’s squad should be able to justify their status as strong favorites. A blowout is unlikely, but a “-1.5 goal” spread for Ronaldo and company is reasonable.
Prediction for the match: Portugal to win with 1.5 handicap.
