Poland take on the visitors Lithuania in World Cup 2026 qualification match. The match will be played on Friday, March 21st at PGE Narodowy (Warsaw).
Poland managed to avoid a full-blown crisis for a long time, but they haven't truly impressed in recent years. They did qualify for yet another major tournament, reaching Euro 2024, but their campaign was largely disappointing. Even with the expanded tournament format, it became clear before the final matchday that Poland had no realistic chance of reaching the knockout stage, following decisive losses to the Netherlands and Austria. At least they salvaged some pride by earning a point against France in their last match. The Nations League campaign started on a high note with a thrilling 3-2 victory over Scotland in Glasgow. However, things quickly unraveled as Poland added just one more point—a draw against Croatia—while suffering defeats in all other matches. Their performance against Portugal was particularly poor, finishing with zero points in that fixture. Fittingly, they ended the group stage with a 1-2 home defeat to Scotland, losing the battle for third place. Despite all this, Michał Probierz has retained his position as head coach. Poland is now on a four-match losing streak, making this match crucial for rebuilding confidence.
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Lithuania has a clear ceiling, and it's quite low. While Lithuania excels in basketball and has shown that even a small nation can succeed in a major team sport, football remains an entirely different story. Their current generation is nowhere near the level seen under Edgaras Jankauskas, the former Porto striker and Champions League winner who now serves as their coach. Some progress was evident in the previous qualifying campaign, as Lithuania managed to collect six points and at least finished ahead of Bulgaria. However, their subsequent relegation playoff against Gibraltar was won only to set up an even more disastrous Nations League campaign—losing all six matches to opponents like Cyprus and Romania. Adding to their struggles, Lithuania has failed to score in four of its last five matches, highlighting ongoing issues in attack.
In their seventh and most recent encounter—all of which were friendlies—Poland finally took the lead in the series with a 3-2 overall record in wins. Given the circumstances, Poland must start this new cycle with a confident display. Expect Lewandowski and company to secure a dominant victory, covering a -2 goal handicap.
Prediction for the match: Poland to win with -2.0 handicap.
