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Paderborn and Wolfsburg meet on Monday with a place in next season’s Bundesliga still hanging in the balance after a tense and cautious first leg ended goalless.
Paderborn are no strangers to the Bundesliga, although both of their previous spells in the top flight ended quickly. The Blue-Blacks earned another shot at promotion thanks to an impressive Bundesliga 2 campaign, finishing third after a crucial 2-0 victory over Darmstadt on the final day. However, their form leading into that match raised concerns, with defeats against Schalke and Elversberg exposing ongoing defensive vulnerabilities.
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Wolfsburg, meanwhile, endured a deeply disappointing Bundesliga season and spent much of the campaign battling near the bottom of the table. A late improvement eventually helped the Wolves avoid automatic relegation, highlighted by an important 3-1 win over St. Pauli. They also picked up respectable results against Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach, though inconsistency remained one of their biggest issues throughout the year.
Despite the 0-0 scoreline in the first leg, Wolfsburg looked comfortably the stronger side. The Wolves dominated large stretches of the match, finishing with a commanding 17-2 advantage in shots, but lacked the finishing touch needed to capitalize on their superiority. Performances like that over two legs often get rewarded, and Wolfsburg should take confidence from the level they produced.
Paderborn will hope home support can push them over the line, but the difference in squad quality and top-flight experience is difficult to overlook. If Wolfsburg can maintain the same attacking intensity while showing a bit more composure in front of goal, they should have enough to secure their Bundesliga status.
Pick: Wolfsburg to win — 2.09
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