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Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 15 May 2025

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 15 May 2025

Osasuna take on the visitors Atletico Madrid in the round 36 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Thursday, April 15th at Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).

Osasuna have long been a typical “manager-driven” side. Under Jagoba Arrasate, who took over when they were in the Segunda, they not only secured promotion but also consolidated their position in La Liga — peaking with a 7th-place finish in 2023 and a Copa del Rey final. They even made it to the Conference League qualifiers, though they lost to their very first opponent. That early exit was a warning sign, and a regression followed — the team fell back into the lower half of the La Liga table. Vicente Moreno took over last summer, and while things haven’t been perfect, there’s been clear progress. A strong April run, with three straight wins, has put them back in the hunt for a European spot. Although they lost 2-4 to a stronger Villarreal side, they showed resilience by drawing 1-1 away at Betis.

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Atlético clearly hoped for more when launching a major squad overhaul less than a year ago. Los Colchoneros had finished behind Girona and were often trailing Athletic in the last La Liga campaign. So, despite securing a top-four spot, the club felt a revamp was overdue — with big names like Morata leaving and major investments like Álvarez arriving. Initially, there were hopes the rebuild would pay off quickly, but they fell short in key moments. Atlético lost to Real Madrid in the Champions League round of 16 on penalties and were edged out by Barcelona in the Copa del Rey semi-finals. In La Liga, despite holding top spot for a while, they faded due to a string of poor results in 2025, including losses to Las Palmas and a goalless draw with Alavés. However, they reminded everyone of their firepower by demolishing a struggling Real Sociedad side 4-0 last weekend.

Last year, Osasuna shocked Atlético with a 4-1 win in Madrid, ending a run of 11 straight defeats to them. But in January, Griezmann and co. responded with a clinical 1-0 victory. The visitors have more quality and depth, and they should prove it here. Back Atlético to win this one.

Prediction for the match: Atletico Madrid to win.

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Sam Wilson
Sports tipster