Osasuna take on the visitors Alaves in the round 27 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Monday, February 4th at Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).
For Osasuna, February in the championship began unsuccessfully - with a sensational home defeat against Celta (0-3). Although the Reds didn't deserve to lose, let alone by such a large margin. According to most statistical indicators, Osasuna was better then, and in terms of xG, the opponents created an equal number of chances (1.17 against 1.17). The unfair result didn't break the team but rather spurred them positively. Under the guidance of Jagoba Arrasate, they first defeated Real Sociedad away (1-0), then triumphed at home against Cadiz (2-0), and ended the winter with an away draw against Las Palmas, which was also decent.
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Alaves recently had the same number of points as Osasuna, but now trails by four. The blame lies in the poor end to the spring. It all started with a home defeat against Barcelona (1-3). Then the team had a series of three draws in the league: against Villarreal (1-1), Betis (0-0), and Mallorca (1-1). It's possible that Alaves' drawing streak will continue in the next round. However, the brave are unlikely to defeat Osasuna. Away matches are the weak point of this team. In 13 such games, Alaves have managed only two victories in La Liga this season.
They don't aim for high places but try to stay comfortably clear of the relegation zone. I slightly favor Osasuna in this meeting. Firstly, in matches between roughly equal teams, the home field advantage and support from the home fans often play a crucial role. Secondly, both in terms of football quality and results, in February, Jagoba Arrasate's wards looked stronger and more interesting than their opponents. Looking only at official matches between these teams (excluding friendlies), Osasuna have celebrated victory in the last four encounters. This includes the first-round clash earlier this season away (2-0). I expect a win for the Reds, but I don't rule out a draw in this match. Therefore, the bet is a (0) handicap on the hosts.
Prediction for the match: Osasuna to win with 0.0 handicap.
