Operario take on the visitors Brusque in the round 24 match of Brazilian Serie B. The match will be played on Tuesday, September 3rd at Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa),
Operário Ferroviário moved up a division this year. Initially, the team focused on playing tough defensive football, often resulting in low-scoring games that didn't excite neutral fans. This strategy wasn't always successful, leading to a mix of draws, wins, and plenty of losses. As a result, the "Country Ghosts" have started playing much more aggressively up front, focusing more on attack. For instance, in their home match against Ituano, they took 20 shots on goal. In four of their last five home games, Operário managed to surpass a modest, but for Brazil, quite decent Over 1.5 total goals! Against Vila Nova, there was even a goal-fest, ending 2-3! Prioritizing attack has disrupted their defense, which is an accepted truth in football. On average, the team scores exactly one goal per game at home, which is quite impressive.
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The "Tricolors" are the highest-scoring team in away games, averaging about three goals per match! These are outstanding numbers. However, there's a catch: in 12 away matches, Brusque has conceded 25 goals. If we look at the overall statistics, that’s an average of two goals per match. In 11 of their last 12 away matches, the Over 1.5 total goals was easily surpassed, with scores like 1-4, 2-2, 2-4, and 0-4. Brusque is currently in the relegation zone, so they desperately need points, and points won’t come without goals. It’s worth noting that one of their few recent away victories was against Operário. Yes, almost a year ago, in the third division, where three goals were scored, confirming a high total.
For instance, there was a 4-3 game in favor of Brusque. These are two very ambitious teams that have both managed to climb two divisions in just two years. They have serious objectives, with Operário aiming for 6th place, while Brusque is fighting to avoid relegation. Both teams had decent transfer campaigns over the summer, focusing on strengthening their attack. This doesn’t just involve local players; for Operário Ferroviário, they made solid signings from Moreirense (Portugal) and Győr (Hungary). Vinícius Mingotti has already made an impact, scoring a goal against Vila Nova. He’s a good, fast forward with solid technique and two strong feet. The hosts tend to score in almost every game, and given Brusque's consistent habit of conceding away from home, a goal exchange is inevitable. I'm taking the Over 1.5 goals bet.
Prediction for the match: Over 1.5 scored goals.
