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Netherlands vs Lithuania Prediction 17 November 2025

Netherlands vs Lithuania Prediction 17 November 2025

Netherlands take on the visitors in a World Cup 2026 qualification match. The match will be played on Monday, November 17th at Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam).

The Netherlands went through a difficult spell after Koeman returned as head coach. But with Ronald they reached the Euro semi-finals, and even in the Nations League in March they did not lose to Spain — the Spaniards advanced only after a penalty shootout. In the qualifiers the Dutch demonstrated their trademark attacking style, usually securing big wins — there was even an 8–0 result. The only ones who caused them problems (as expected) were Poland. They faced them right after the opponent’s coaching change, and perhaps because of that the visitors earned a 1–1 draw in September in Rotterdam. In the previous round they also played against the Biało-Czerwoni and pragmatically earned the same result, which secured first place. Recent performances show that the Netherlands remain one of the most stable teams in the group, consistently controlling matches even when not winning by large margins. Their ability to dictate the tempo and maintain pressure throughout the full 90 minutes has also been evident in their latest qualifiers.

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Lithuania did not surprise in any way overall. The Yellow-Greens have never been a major football force. Individual stars such as Jankauskas, who now coaches the team, have emerged here and there. But they were never enough to form a strong national side — and Edgaras currently has no players of that calibre at his disposal. Overall, the realistic target for 2025 was clear: to fight for the second-to-last place and try to finish above Malta. Even against Malta both matches ended in draws, with the home game salvaged 1–1 thanks to a penalty in the 96th minute. Aside from that, only Finland — going through a crisis — were held to a draw; all other matches in 2025 ended in defeat. Lithuania skipped the previous qualifying round and instead played a friendly against Israel, where they looked solid and finished 0–0. Their results reflect a team that relies heavily on defensive discipline, often trying to limit the scoreline rather than dictate play. Despite modest attacking output, Lithuania’s resilience occasionally allows them to stay competitive against similarly ranked opponents.

The sides met for the first time two months ago. And the Oranje did not win easily: the underdogs came back from 0–2 late in the first half, and only Depay after the break secured the favourite’s victory. The Oranje can celebrate on the pitch in front of their home crowd. We back them with a -3 goal handicap.

Prediction for the match: Netherlands to win with -3.0 handicap.

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Sam Wilson
Sports tipster