Netherlands take on the visitors Hungary in the round 5 match of UEFA Nations League group stage. The match will be played on Saturday, November 16th at Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam).
The Netherlands have reclaimed their status as true European football giants, thanks to consistent results in recent cycles. Under Louis van Gaal at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, they fell only to eventual champions Argentina in a dramatic penalty shootout, courtesy of Emiliano Martínez’s heroics. Following Van Gaal’s departure, Ronald Koeman—a student of his methods—took over. Koeman, who had previously guided the team to Euro 2020 after a long absence from major tournaments, faced a rocky start in his second tenure. However, under his guidance, the Netherlands reached the semifinals this summer, narrowly losing to England late in the game. This fall, they’ve had a mixed bag of results, including two closely contested games against Germany (2-2 and 0-1) and a draw against Hungary. They managed a solid victory over Bosnia in their opening match and will look to replicate that at home.
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Hungary competing toe-to-toe despite challenges. The "Magyars" have struggled in World Cup qualification campaigns but have found better fortune in other tournaments, including the Nations League. In the previous cycle, they were close to winning their group as a newcomer to League A. Dominik Szoboszlai and his teammates also secured a spot at the Euros but faltered during the tournament, losing to both Switzerland and Germany. A late 1-0 win over Scotland in a counterattack wasn't enough to progress beyond the group stage. Their Nations League campaign this year started disastrously with a 0-5 thrashing by Germany. However, Marco Rossi's team rebounded, earning four points in two matches against Bosnia and drawing with the Netherlands at home, keeping their hopes alive for a respectable finish.
The 1-1 draw in October ended a long streak of dominance by the Netherlands in this fixture. Before that, the Dutch had won eight consecutive meetings. The Netherlands have been steadily improving under Koeman’s leadership, showing resilience against top-tier teams and dominating lower-ranked opponents. Hungary, despite their fighting spirit, continues to struggle against elite teams, with defensive lapses costing them dearly in key matches. Playing at home, the Dutch have the quality and momentum to deliver a decisive result. Expect a convincing performance from Koeman’s side, with a solid bet being a victory with a handicap of "-1.5 goals." A likely scoreline could be 3-1 or 2-0 in favor of the Netherlands, securing their spot in the playoffs with authority.
Prediction for the match: Netherlands to win with -1.5 handicap.
