Napoli take on the visitors Fiorentina in the round 23 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Saturday, January 31st at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples).
Napoli look rather unstable. The Partenopei have been on a real roller coaster lately. Spalletti led them to the Scudetto, something they had not achieved since the Maradona era, but in 2024 they suddenly finished outside the European qualification zone altogether. The next rise came under Conte, who won a tight title race with Inter at the first attempt, and the Super Cup was added in winter. However, things have not gone smoothly in other competitions. They needed penalties at home to get past Cagliari in the cup, and in the Champions League they failed completely, missing out on the playoffs after a home defeat in the final round. In Serie A, the title fight continues but without real confidence: after a narrow win over newcomers Sassuolo, Napoli were heavily beaten 0–3 by Juventus in the last matchday. Recent form clearly shows sharp fluctuations from match to match, with convincing wins followed by painful setbacks. Such inconsistency makes it difficult for Napoli to fully control games, even at home, especially against motivated opponents.
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Fiorentina had been performing fairly steadily. Last season they finished sixth, edging out Lazio only on tiebreakers with equal points. Despite that, the club decided to appoint Pioli in the summer. His best results came in the Conference League, where Fiorentina started from the qualifiers and confidently reached the playoffs. In Serie A, though, wins were hard to come by, a problem that persisted even after the change to Vanoli. Only in winter did the team begin to show signs of recovery, including a victory over Bologna. That made the slip-up against Cagliari all the more surprising, as defeat there was clearly not part of the plan. Midweek, Fiorentina also lost 1–3 at home to Como in the cup. Given the situation, it now makes more sense for them to focus on survival in Serie A rather than spreading their efforts across tournaments. Their recent results suggest a team fighting for every point, even if consistency is still missing. Away from home, Fiorentina have been more willing to take risks, which often leads to open and unpredictable matches.
Napoli have won four of the last five meetings with the Viola, with one draw. The champions are expected to win, but their current form is far from ideal, while the visitors desperately need points. This makes the option “both teams to score” worth considering.
Prediction for the match: Both teams to score – yes.
