Mozambique take on the visitors Cameroon in the round 3 match of Africa Cup of Nations group stage. The match will be played on Wednesday, December 31st at Stade Adrar (Agadir).
Mozambique are not outsiders in African football, but they rarely rise above a very average level. The previous cycle was similar, when in World Cup qualification they narrowly missed out on second place in the group on tiebreakers, finishing level on 18 points with Uganda. That rival still failed to reach the playoffs. After that, Mozambique also looked unconvincing in autumn friendly matches. At the Africa Cup of Nations they started against Côte d’Ivoire and, quite predictably, lost narrowly, finishing 0-1. A couple of days later, against a currently strong Gabon side, they managed to produce a real sensation. In one of the most entertaining matches of the tournament, they secured a 3-2 victory, keeping their chances of reaching the playoffs alive. Recent results show that Mozambique can be dangerous when matches become open and dynamic. At the same time, their overall form suggests that consistency remains a major challenge.
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Cameroon wanted to make amends for the setbacks of 2025. The Indomitable Lions are a historic heavyweight at least at the continental level. However, they failed to qualify for the African Nations Championship, losing a playoff tie to the Central African Republic last year. In World Cup qualification, the favorites also surrendered first place early to Cape Verde. Cameroon approached the Africa Cup of Nations amid serious turmoil, with internal uncertainty surrounding leadership and preparation. Despite these issues, they managed to beat Gabon, with a single goal deciding the match. Then against Côte d’Ivoire they traded goals and finished with a 1-1 draw. Even in difficult circumstances, Cameroon continue to show resilience and the ability to grind out results. Their recent matches indicate a pragmatic approach, focused more on control than on attacking spectacle.
There have been four head-to-head matches, all played between 2020 and 2021. Every single one of them ended in victories for the Lions. This should be a tight and tense contest, as a win would guarantee playoff qualification for either side. A high-scoring game is unlikely, so the best option is under 2.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
