Mexico take on the visitors Honduras in the semifinal of Golden Cup. The match will be played on Thursday, July 3rd at Levi's Stadium (Santa Clara, CA).
Mexico are still remembered for their disappointing performance at the last World Cup, where the perennial playoff contender failed to advance from the group stage in Qatar. With the next World Cup set to take place partially on home soil, a strong showing has become a matter of national pride. So far, the team is demonstrating solid form, especially in 2024, which began with a springtime triumph in the CONCACAF Nations League. At the Gold Cup, Javier Aguirre’s men have looked as expected—structured, pragmatic, and efficient. They started with two wins—3-2 over the Dominican Republic and a more cautious 0-0 against Suriname. Their group stage ended with another goalless draw against fellow group favorite Costa Rica, showing their tactical discipline. In the quarterfinals, they delivered a professional 2-0 win over Saudi Arabia, scoring early and late to seal a spot in the semis. Mexico have now kept three clean sheets in four games and appear to be improving as the tournament progresses.
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Honduras have already exceeded expectations. Los Catrachos haven’t reached a World Cup since 2014, and at the last Gold Cup, they didn’t even make it past the group stage. They also failed to qualify for Copa América 2024 and were knocked out in the quarterfinals of the Nations League. However, 2024 has been more promising: they won playoff matches against Belize, then opened World Cup qualifying with solid wins over the Cayman Islands and Antigua & Barbuda. At this Gold Cup, they had a nightmare start—losing 0-6 to Canada—but bounced back impressively with back-to-back 2-0 victories over El Salvador and Curaçao to secure a playoff berth. In the quarterfinals, they battled Panama to a 1-1 draw before prevailing in a penalty shootout. Despite their inconsistent performances, Honduras have shown resilience and the ability to capitalize on opponents’ mistakes. Still, their defensive record remains shaky, with eight goals conceded in four matches.
Not long ago, El Tri had the upper hand in this matchup. However, in both 2023 and 2024, the teams exchanged home wins without conceding. Aguirre’s side are clearly stronger, and that quality should show here. Most likely, Mexico will continue their run to the final by defeating Honduras with a -1.5 handicap.
Prediction for the match: Mexico to win with -1.5 handicap.
