Mallorca take on the visitors Valencia in the round 15 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Friday, November 29th at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca).
Mallorca, often fluctuating between divisions, stabilized under Javier Aguirre, who not only prevented relegation but also led the team to a Copa del Rey final in 2023/24, where they narrowly lost to Athletic Bilbao. With Aguirre’s departure, Jagoba Arrasate took charge, bringing his experience from Osasuna. Arrasate’s tenure started promisingly with a draw against Real Madrid and a run of five wins in seven matches. However, form dipped in late October, with a goalless draw against Athletic Club followed by defeats to Alavés and Atlético Madrid. Post-international break, they bounced back with a hard-fought 3-2 victory over Las Palmas. The "Bermellones" have been solid at home under Arrasate, using a compact defensive setup and quick counterattacks. Valencia’s leaky defense could be exposed here.
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Valencia’s struggles this season have been stark. Ruben Baraja, who revitalized the team in previous campaigns, now finds his squad languishing near the bottom of the table. Despite occasional sparks, like a 4-2 victory over Real Betis after a long pause caused by severe flooding, the team’s inconsistency has been its downfall. Their solitary league win before the break was against Girona, with losses and draws keeping them dangerously close to the relegation zone. Despite their 4-2 win over Betis, Baraja’s side has shown little ability to string together consistent performances, especially away from home.
Mallorca had the upper hand in the 2022/23 season, winning both encounters. However, last season, the teams shared spoils with two draws. For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi remains a potent threat, especially aerially. Valencia will rely on Hugo Duro, who has been one of their few bright spots this season. Given Valencia’s away struggles and Mallorca’s resilience at home, the hosts are favorites to secure all three points. While Valencia might be motivated to climb the table, Mallorca’s organized defense and recent form give them the edge. Mallorca’s steady improvement under Arrasate and Valencia’s ongoing struggles make the hosts clear favorites. However, Valencia’s unpredictability ensures this match won’t be straightforward. Expect a close game, with Mallorca edging it by a narrow margin.
Prediction for the match: Mallorca to win.