Mainz take on the visitors Freiburg in the round 29 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Sunday, April 12th at Mewa Arena (Mainz).
Mainz pleasantly surprised last season. They unexpectedly climbed to 7th place in the final standings and finally returned to European competitions. More precisely, they tried themselves in the youngest of them — the Conference League. There, the Germans performed well and managed not only to get through the main round but also to beat Sigma Olomouc in the playoffs. Now they are facing a much more star-studded RC Strasbourg, and in the home match on Thursday they secured a fairly confident 2-0 win. At the same time, the domestic campaign started heavily: an early cup exit and 9 defeats in the first 13 Bundesliga rounds. Only since December, already under Urs Fischer, has the team shown rapid improvement, winning most of their matches in 2026. They also beat TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 in the last round. Their recent form indicates growing confidence, especially at home. The team has also become more consistent in converting chances and managing results.
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Freiburg understand that saving the season might not come in this tournament. The “Breisgau Brazilians” were close to finishing in the Bundesliga top four last season. Only at the very end were they overtaken by Borussia Dortmund by two points. As a result, they had to settle for another Europa League campaign. There, the Germans confidently advanced to the playoffs. They started with a 0-1 loss to KRC Genk, but more than compensated with a crushing 5-1 home win. On Thursday, they also began their tie against Celta Vigo with a dominant 3-0 victory. In the domestic cup, they reached the semifinals, where they will soon face VfB Stuttgart. However, in the Bundesliga they have slipped to mid-table due to a lack of consistency. In the last round, they lost again, though a 2-3 defeat to Bayern Munich was far from a disaster. Recently, Freiburg have been involved in high-scoring matches quite often. At the same time, their defensive issues continue to be noticeable against strong opponents.
The current visitors have gone unbeaten in nine consecutive meetings. They also secured a 4-0 home win in November after three straight draws. The “Carnival Club” are considered favorites at home, but it is clear this will not be a dull game. The best pick here is total over 2.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 scored goals.
