Luxembourg take on the visitors Germany in a World Cup 2026 qualification match. The match will be played on Fridays, November 14th at Stade de Luxembourg (Luxembourg).
Luxembourg still looks like a team in decline. The Red Lions represent a small duchy. Yes, their neighbors Netherlands and Belgium are not much larger geographically, but they are vastly superior in footballing terms. Gradually, Luc Holtz had been raising the team’s level, but his long tenure ultimately ended with more disappointments. In 2025, Jeff Strasser took over, yet he lacks players of the necessary quality even by the national standard. While there were some positive moments in friendlies — they even beat Sweden in the spring — in qualifying, they haven’t managed a single point so far. Moreover, their only goal in four matches came against Northern Ireland in the opening round. Recent performances have shown a worrying drop in consistency, especially in defense. The team struggles to maintain focus across 90 minutes, and their lack of attacking edge makes it difficult to turn effort into results.
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Germany has gone through a lot over the past decade since winning the 2014 World Cup. Only under Nagelsmann has there been a genuine sense of optimism again, with attractive football and strong showings at the home Euros, as well as a run to the Nations League finals. However, in June, even playing on home soil, Germany suffered two defeats, and then opened World Cup qualifying with a loss to Slovakia, reigniting doubts and criticism. Fortunately, they managed to stabilize soon after, winning all three of their next matches. Their main rival also slipped up, leaving both sides level on points. The decisive clash will come in the final round, but Germany are still expected to win here to secure an advantage heading into that match. The Germans have looked more composed lately, tightening up defensively and finding efficiency in attack. Still, with the decisive fixture ahead, they may prefer to control the game without overexerting themselves.
So far, the Bundesteam has only beaten their modest neighbor. They’ve done so five times already, including a 4-0 victory in October. It’s possible that Wirtz and company won’t crush the Lions as convincingly this time. But we’ll take another German win — this time with a handicap of “-2.5 goals.”
Prediction for the match: Germany to win with -2.5 handicap.
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