Liverpool take on the visitors Southampton in the round 28 match of English Premier League. The match will be played on Saturday, March 8th at Anfield (Liverpool).
Liverpool were expected to decline, and quite significantly, after Jürgen Klopp’s departure in the summer. Not only did an era end—one that concluded on a high note with a top-three Premier League finish and an EFL Cup victory—but the club also refrained from making any major signings, with the modestly priced Federico Chiesa being the only arrival. However, Arne Slot has defied all expectations, not just preventing a drop-off but leading Liverpool into the spring as the undisputed league leaders. That said, their form has been shakier in recent months, with a shocking 0-1 FA Cup exit to Championship strugglers Plymouth standing out. Still, they avenged their League Cup semi-final loss to Tottenham with a strong comeback in the return leg. And now, with the Champions League knockout stage beginning, Liverpool can take confidence from their perfect group-stage record, winning all seven matches. Their clash with PSG seemed destined for defeat, but Alisson stood firm, and Elliott capitalized on one of the few chances the English side created, securing an unlikely win. Despite a few setbacks, Liverpool remains one of the most in-form teams in Europe, unbeaten in their last 11 home games in all competitions.
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Southampton clearly not ready for the premier league. The Saints were relegated from the Premier League in 2023 and endured a tough road back, only securing promotion via the playoffs. Despite strengthening their squad with some notable additions, their performances have been disappointing, especially in league play. Neither under Russell Martin nor his replacement Ivan Jurić have they managed to show much fight, accumulating just nine points so far. Their struggles have been evident in the defensive phase, conceding an alarming 2.4 goals per game on average. However, there was a glimmer of hope last month when they managed a 2-1 away win against fellow strugglers Ipswich, though that remains one of their very few bright moments in the campaign. Southampton’s poor away form, with just one win in their last 12 road matches, further complicates their chances of making this a competitive fixture.
Liverpool has dominated recent meetings, winning seven of the last eight encounters. Southampton's only success in that span was a 1-1 draw in May 2023. Under Slot, the Reds have already defeated the Saints both in the league and in the cup this season. The question here is not whether Liverpool will win, but by how much. Given their attacking prowess and Southampton’s defensive frailties, expect a comfortable victory for the hosts. A -2.5 handicap looks like the best value bet.
Prediction for the match: Liverpool to win with -2.5 handicap.
