Leicester take on the visitors Southampton in the postponed round 38 match of English Championship. The match will be played on Tuesday, April 23rd at King Power Stadium (Leicester).
Leicester continues to lead in the championship, but looks very unstable in spring. Yes, this mostly concerns away matches. However, two dry defeats with the same score of 0-1 against Plymouth and Millwall definitely were not part of the plans for the Foxes coach and the players themselves. Thanks to a home victory against West Bromwich (2-1), the team maintained its first position in the league, but Ipswich are only two points behind in the table, and Leeds are four points behind. In the match against Southampton, Enzo Maresca's wards are considered clear favorites, as they have won three consecutive home games before. Perhaps the Foxes will win again this time, I don't argue. But I doubt that there will be a lot of goals scored in the match. For four consecutive rounds of the championship, Leicester have been playing on Under 3.5 goals. And in the last nine rounds, this bet has won seven times.
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Southampton are one of Leicester's pursuers in the championship. It is currently in fourth place in the table and is unlikely to drop lower. It trails the top 2 by five points, but why not try to return to the Premier League directly to avoid a difficult and nervous playoff? I understand the strength of the opponent, the Saints are unlikely to rush into attack recklessly. Especially remembering how the Foxes thrashed them at their stadium in the first round. In four out of five recent league matches, Southampton played Under 3.5: a victory against Coventry City (2-1), Preston (3-0), a draw with Blackburn Rovers (0-0), and a defeat to Cardiff City (1-2).
After all, in the first round, the Foxes and the Saints had a total of five goals. But it's one thing to play in September, and quite another at the end of the season. Here, the players' strength is significantly less, and the cost of mistakes is higher. In this confrontation of two teams that were in the Premier League just a year ago, I bet on Under 3.5 goals. Southampton haven't been playing very well away lately. Leicester also stopped scoring in bunches and sometimes struggles to create and convert chances. And just for reference, in the last nine duels on the Foxes field, Over 3.5 goals was achieved only once.
Prediction for the match: Over 3.5 scored goals.