Lazio take on the visitors Bodo/Glimt in the second leg of UEFA Europa League round of quarterfinals. First leg result: 0-2. The match will be played on Thursday, April 17th at Stadio Olimpico (Rome).
Lazio are trying to improve on last season. The Eagles clearly won’t replicate their breakthrough under Sarri in 2023, when they finished as Serie A runners-up. However, Maurizio didn’t even see out the following season — he was dismissed amid a series of poor results, and Lazio only just edged Fiorentina for 7th place by a single goal. That narrow success was enough to qualify them for the Europa League. For their current coach, Marco Baroni, domestic progress in Serie A remains the top priority. The team continues to show inconsistency, yet still harbours hopes of sneaking into the top four. In the Europa League, Lazio often rotated their squad, but still managed to collect 19 points in the group stage — matched only by Athletic Club. They then comfortably dispatched Viktoria Plzeň in the round of 16. After that, however, they lost 0-2 in Norway, leaving them needing a big home win — but do they have the will to push for it? Their recent league form has been mixed, with crucial points dropped against mid-table sides. Defensively, they’ve kept just two clean sheets in their last seven matches. The return leg will test their motivation more than their ability.
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Bodø/Glimt have firmly established themselves as the top team in Norway in recent years. They secured yet another Eliteserien title last autumn, reaffirming their domestic dominance. The one thing still missing under Kjetil Knutsen has been a place in the main round of the Champions League. They were knocked out in August at the final hurdle by Red Star Belgrade, who reversed a 1-2 loss in Norway with a 2-0 win at home. That sent the Norwegians into the Europa League, where they picked up 14 points in the group stage — quite a feat given that half the matches were played during their domestic offseason. In the knockout rounds, despite still being in preseason, they knocked out Twente and Olympiacos. Against Lazio, they looked well-organised and clinical, fully deserving their 2-0 first-leg win. Bodø/Glimt are unbeaten in five of their last six European away matches. Their tactical discipline and counter-attacking style make them a nightmare for possession-heavy teams. Even without domestic match rhythm, they continue to outperform expectations on the continental stage.
The first-ever meeting between these sides took place last Thursday, with Bodø/Glimt winning 2-0 in Norway. The odds suggest faith in a Lazio comeback. But it's hard to see that desire truly reflected on the pitch — we’re backing the visitors with a +1.5 goal handicap.
Prediction for the match: Bodo/Glimt to win with +1.5 handicap.
