Koln take on the visitors RB Leipzig in the round 26 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Friday, February 15th at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne).
Cologne are having a very weak season and is at serious risk of ending up in the second division after four years since returning to the elite of German football. After 25 rounds of the championship, the head coach has already been replaced, yet the team still finds itself in the relegation zone. While they are 7 points away from the 15th place that ensures safety, they are only 2 points clear of the direct relegation zone. I don't think the Billy Goats have much chance of even securing a draw in the upcoming round. Although they haven't been losing as often lately, occasional defeats still occur, such as the home losses to Bayer (0-2), Werder (0-1), and Borussia Dortmund (0-4).
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RB Leipzig are also having a less-than-ideal season but still has a chance to salvage it. They have been eliminated from the Champions League and the German Cup. Now they need to focus all their efforts on the national championship, where they have a chance to compete for a spot in the Champions League. Marco Rose's team is just one point behind Borussia Dortmund, who are in fourth place. In the last four Bundesliga matches, Leipzig have secured three victories, defeating Darmstadt (2-0), Borussia Monchengladbach (2-0), and Bochum (1-4). Incidentally, Bochum was thrashed in Leipzig's most recent away match.
In this match, which opens the next round of the German championship, there is no need to reinvent the wheel, so I'm taking the away win (P2) bet. The Bulls are objectively stronger than The Billy Goats and should dominate them even away from home. Moreover, the team currently led by Timo Schultz has been losing more often at home lately than away. While the hosts are sluggishly fighting for survival, Leipzig is fighting for a place in the Champions League. Both teams have extremely high motivation, but the difference in class remains unchanged. My prediction is a win for the favorite.
Prediction for the match: RB Leipzig to win.
