Kazakhstan take on the visitors Belgium in a World Cup 2026 qualification match. The match will be played on Saturday, November 15th at Astana Arena (Astana).
Kazakhstan not long ago had been in relatively good form — at least by their own standards. That spell ended with a heavy defeat in the playoff match for Euro qualification. Afterwards came several disappointing months under Cherchesov. Now, under Baysufinov, the team has only managed to beat the hopeless outsider Liechtenstein — 2-0 and 4-0. Against every stronger opponent, Kazakhstan have been losing. Only in the previous round did they pleasantly surprise their supporters by taking points from North Macedonia, a team seriously competing for second place. Moreover, they even opened the scoring early in the second half, though they allowed the opponent to equalize, finishing 1-1. It was certainly a setback for their rival, and Kazakhstan will try to repeat such resistance now. Kazakhstan’s recent matches show more discipline in defense, helping them avoid heavy defeats. At the same time, their struggles in attack remain obvious, making each goal a major achievement rather than a consistent pattern.
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Belgium understand that dropping points is unacceptable. The Red Devils played last season under Domenico Tedesco, but failed to impress either at the Euros or in the Nations League. As a result, Rudi Garcia took charge in March — debuting with a 1-3 loss to Ukraine in the playoff. However, his team regrouped and crushed the opponent in the return match. In qualifying, Belgium have mostly been winning, with one exception: they couldn’t beat North Macedonia away (1-1 in June) or at home (0-0 in October). Even so, they remain ahead in the standings, and any victory in Astana will secure first place once and for all. They have, however, arrived without several key players, with injuries preventing Garcia from fielding his optimal lineup. Belgium’s overall form still looks stable, as they’ve consistently controlled matches against weaker sides. Their defensive record in this qualification cycle also adds confidence that they can manage the game even with a rotated squad.
Since 2010, the teams have met five times. Belgium have won all five, with Lukaku and company dominating each encounter. The Red Devils are stronger and clearly motivated. We believe they will win — and not by the minimum. The pick is Belgium with a “-1.5 goals” handicap.
Prediction for the match: Belgium to win with -1.5 handicap.
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