Juventude take on the visitors Sao Paulo in the round 18 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Monday, July 22nd at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul).
Juventude has been performing quite well in Serie A for their level. The main goal for the team this season is to avoid relegation back to Serie B. So far, the "Parrots" are achieving this goal, currently sitting in 12th place in the standings, at the bottom of the Copa Sudamericana zone, and maintaining a five-point gap from the relegation zone. Importantly for our prediction, Juventude has scored in 14 of their 15 league matches. The only match they failed to score was an away game against Bahia. At home, they have scored against all eight opponents this season, netting 13 goals, securing five wins, and drawing three times. It's also worth mentioning that they scored against Internacional in a recent cup clash in both matches (2-1 and 1-1). Juventude does have some injuries, but either the injured players have been out for a while or the recent additions to the injury list are defensive players. This does not affect their attack in any way.
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As for São Paulo's injury issues, it's worth noting their problems quickly. They have midfielders Pablo Maia (3 matches) and Alisson (16 matches, 1 goal and 2 assists) in the infirmary. Defensive midfielder Luís Gustavo (10 matches) is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, and defenders Alan Franco (11 matches and 1 assist) and Igor Vinícius (12 matches and 2 assists) are out due to red cards. Yes, sometimes the "Tricolor" can keep a clean sheet, but this has only happened five times in 17 matches and only twice in eight away games in this season’s league. São Paulo concedes an average of one goal per game and mostly achieves positive results by the principle of "you score as much as you can, we will score as much as we want." Although they can also fail on the road, as evidenced by defeats to Vasco da Gama (1-4) and Atlético Mineiro (1-2).
So far, the "Parrots" haven't let me down. In 15 rounds, the team has scored 19 goals and consistently scores at least one goal in each home match. Juventude's attack is versatile: quick counterattacks, solid combinations, and set pieces. Consider this: the team's last seven goals in the league were scored by seven different players. São Paulo cannot be called a team with a perfect defense. On the road, the "Tricolor" rarely keep a clean sheet. The visitors are quite likely to concede at least one goal, especially considering their recent injury issues. Additionally, in their last three home matches against São Paulo, Juventude managed to score: 1-1, 2-2, and 1-2.
Prediction for the match: Juventude to score – yes.