Juventude take on the visitors Gremio in the round 15 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, July 7th at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul).
For a team that was still competing in the country's second division a year ago, Juventude is performing quite well this season. It's clear that the "Parrots" don’t quite have a Serie A-level squad, and it will be challenging for them to maintain their mid-table position solely on character and emotions. So far, they’ve been solid at home, but that could change. In their last four matches, Juventude has suffered three away losses: against Bahia (0-2), Fortaleza (1-2), and Palmeiras (1-3). It’s likely that in the upcoming round, the "Parrots" may miss out on at least two points, even on their own turf.
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Grêmio had a disastrous start to the current championship, despite winning the silver medals in Serie A last season. The team lost seven out of nine league matches and only managed to pick up points in home games. However, lately, Grêmio has slowly started to improve in the championship, gradually gaining momentum and shifting from first to second gear. The "Musketeers" are now unbeaten in three consecutive rounds. They beat Fluminense at home (1-0), drew with the reigning champion Palmeiras (2-2), and managed a 1-1 draw in their latest away match against Atlético-GO.
Yes, Juventude is currently slightly higher in the Serie A table. While they technically have five more points than their opponent, the actual difference in dropped points is only two. Bookmakers don’t favor any team in this match, and I agree with them. It’s a game with three possible outcomes, where it makes sense to cover two with a double chance bet on Grêmio not to lose (X2). Recently, Grêmio has looked more promising than their opponents. I believe the "Musketeers" will continue to improve, while the "Parrots" are likely to regress. Juventude has not won in their last six encounters with Grêmio. The teams have already faced each other three times in 2024, all in the Gaúcho Serie A, resulting in two Grêmio victories (1-0 and 3-1) and a draw (0-0). I’m betting that the more renowned and titled club will at least avoid defeat again.
Prediction for the match: Gremio not to lose (X2).
