Israel take on the visitors Estonia in the in a World Cup 2026 qualification match. The match will be played on Saturday, March 22nd at Nagyerdei Stadion (Debrecen).
Israel were closer to qualifying for the previous Euros than they had been for most past tournaments. They found themselves in a balanced qualifying group where even the supposed favorite, Switzerland, struggled significantly. However, Israel failed to capitalize, losing to both the Swiss and Romania. That wasn’t the end of their disappointment—last year, they entered the playoff stage, only to be eliminated by Iceland due to critical defensive mistakes. After that, they made their debut in Nations League A, and while finishing last was expected, they still showed resilience. Despite struggling throughout the campaign, they managed to hold France to a 0-0 draw and even secured a shock win against Belgium in their final matches. This proves that Israel is capable of competing against top-tier teams when they are at their best.
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Estonia has long stopped setting ambitious goals. The Blue Shirts rightfully take pride in their historic playoff appearance for a major tournament, but that was a one-time anomaly from years ago. These days, they are perennial underdogs, primarily fighting to avoid finishing bottom of their group. In recent Nations League campaigns, they have often found themselves battling another modest post-Soviet team, Azerbaijan. In the 2023 qualifiers, Azerbaijan came out on top with four points, but in last autumn’s Nations League fixtures, Estonia got their revenge—winning at home and drawing away in a perfect reversal of their previous meetings. While Estonia remains a resilient squad, they lack the depth and consistency to challenge stronger opponents like Israel.
These teams met in Euro qualifiers back in 2006-2007, with Israel securing two clean-sheet victories. The nominal hosts are clearly superior in terms of quality and squad depth. Betting on Israel to win with a -1.0 goal handicap seems reasonable, while those looking for more risk could push it to -1.5.
Prediction for the match: Israel to win with -1.5 handicap.
