Hoffenheim take on the visitors RB Leipzig in the round 32 match of German Bundesliga. The match will be played on Friday, April 3rd at PreZero Arena (Sinsheim).
Hoffenheim looks very solid this season. If a year ago, at this time, the villagers were still considered one of the candidates for relegation, now they are fighting for a place in the European competition zone, trailing seventh-placed Freiburg by just one point. The team loses less frequently in the championship than it earns points: 11 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses. In the last two home matches in the Bundesliga, Hoffenheim prevailed over Augsburg (3-1) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (4-3). Even in two out of three recent away losses, the handicap (+1.5) on villagers worked: defeats against Bayer (1-2) and Bochum (2-3). Thus, the desired bet failed only in one of the last five matches of Pellegriño Matarazzo's team.
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RB Leipzig could still become a bronze medalist in the Bundesliga, surpassing Stuttgart. But let's be realistic, the main task for the bulls has almost been accomplished - in the fight for a place in the Champions League zone, they are five points ahead of Borussia Dortmund with three rounds to go. Of course, this doesn't mean that the Marco Rose's team will play hands down against Hoffenheim, but they might relax slightly. After all, you can't win all the time, and Leipzig already has a series of four consecutive victories in the championship. In the spring, the bulls do look great, but not without difficulties. In their recent away match in the league, for example, they only beat another mid-table team, Heidenheim, with a score of 2-1. And a little earlier, they failed to score points in a home game against Mainz (0-0).
On the surface, the bulls are favorites from all angles. The guests are superior in class to the hosts, and the head-to-head statistics are entirely on Leipzig's side. Moreover, representatives of Red Bull have been consistently winning lately. It seems like betting on the favorite to win would be a safe choice. But my choice in this match is the handicap (+1.5) for the hosts. The villagers are not to be underestimated; they are motivated to earn points for the remainder of the season, if not more than their opponents. Hoffenheim has been strong at home lately. And I believe they are capable of at least securing a draw against Leipzig. And if the hosts do lose, it would likely be by just one goal. Nothing more than that.
Prediction for the match: Hoffenheim to win with +1.5 handicap.
