Gremio take on the visitors Vitoria in the round 18 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, July 21st at Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre).
The vice-champions of the country, Grêmio, continue to disappoint their fans. The team remains in the relegation zone of Serie A, positioned third from the bottom of the table. The "Musketeers" have lost two-thirds of their matches in the new season's league campaign. Grêmio's main problem lies in creating and converting chances. The team has scored only 10 goals in 15 league matches. They enter this match on the back of three consecutive defeats without scoring. However, the defense has been somewhat reliable; the Porto Alegre side has lost 0-1 four times, 0-2 twice, and kept clean sheets in three matches. Speaking of the team's attacking issues, it's worth mentioning that Jonathan Robert, André Henrique, Diego Costa, and Franco Cristaldo are still in the infirmary. Some have been out for a long time, others more recently, but losses are losses. Additionally, due to an accumulation of yellow cards, the "Musketeers" will be without their right winger, Fernandez, in the upcoming round.
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Vitória Bahia have four points more in their tally than their opponents, but they have also played two more matches. The team scores more frequently than Grêmio, but even 19 goals in 17 matches is a very low figure to expect high-scoring games from this side. Vitória also has personnel issues. Due to an accumulation of yellow cards, defensive midfielder Luan Santos (who has played 14 matches this season) will not play against the "Musketeers." Additionally, in early July, his midfield colleague, Siau Vinícius (7 matches), injured his knee. Salvador's team has played under 2.5 goals in seven matches this season, while Grêmio has done so ten times. I believe we should not expect a high-scoring encounter in this head-to-head clash.
At "Arena do Grêmio," two teams that are performing terribly this season will face off. And by terribly, we primarily refer to their attacking play. If the visitors manage to score at least one goal per game on average in Serie A, the hosts score roughly 1.7 times over 90 minutes on average. In this battle of "titans," I won't risk predicting the outcome. However, I do think it's reasonable to bet on a low number of goals. The Salvador side has failed to score against their opponents in four consecutive meetings. The last encounter at Grêmio's field ended in a narrow victory for the hosts (1-0). My prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
