Gremio take on the visitors Palmeiras in the round 14 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Friday, July 5th at Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre).
In 11 championship matches, the team from Porto Alegre has already suffered seven defeats. Even though they picked up four out of six possible points in the last two rounds, they are still in the relegation zone. And in which matches did Grêmio earn these points? Against Atlético-GO and Fluminense, who have also been as unfortunate at the start of the season as they have. Both of these teams are also in the relegation zone. Yes, the "Musketeers" play noticeably better at home than away, where they have been absolutely dreadful. But even at home, the "Immortal Tricolor" have already lost three times in Série A: to Bragantino (0-2), Botafogo (1-2), and Internacional (0-1).
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And now they are hosting the reigning champions of Brazil who sensationally lost their last away game to Fortaleza by a large margin (0-3). The "Piglets" did win at home against Corinthians (2-0) after that, but they still need to redeem themselves for that loss, and what better way to do it than in an away match. I don't envy the Grêmio players who will face the country’s champions in a fit of rage. Apart from the defeat by Fortaleza, the champions have won six of their last seven league matches. We've already mentioned the victory over Corinthians. Besides that, in the same period, they have beaten: Juventude (3-1), Vasco da Gama (2-0), Bragantino (2-1), Atlético Mineiro (4-0), and Criciúma (2-1). A little earlier, the "Piglets" also won away against Cuiabá (2-0) and Vitória Bahia (1-0), resulting in four victories in six away matches.
Even though this is a home match for the "Musketeers," Palmeiras players look like favorites on paper. The hosts have been dreadful this season. The "Piglets," on the other hand, are one of the best teams in the league at the moment. The second team on the table is visiting the third team from the bottom of the same table. I think at least a (0) handicap on the "Green-Whites" is a safe and necessary bet here. Essentially, Grêmio only has the home field advantage, which doesn't always help the "Immortal Tricolor," judging by their results. Palmeiras are in much better form, have a stronger squad as the reigning national champions, and the head-to-head statistics are also in favor of the "Piglets"—five wins to one in the last six meetings. My prediction is a (0) handicap for the visitors.
Prediction for the match: Palmeiras to win with 0.0 handicap.
