Gremio take on Fluminense in the round 13 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, June 30th at Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre).
After ten matches in Serie A, Grêmio finds itself in the penultimate position in the standings. The team has suffered seven defeats in these games. And if the "Musketeers" were facing any other opponent in the upcoming round, my prediction would probably not favor Grêmio. But Fluminense looks even weaker than the hosts at the start of the league, as will be discussed further. As for the "Immortal Tricolor," at least they managed to secure victories in two of their five home matches this season: against Cuiabá (1-0) and Atlético Paranaense (2-1). In the most recent round, Grêmio finally broke a six-match losing streak in the championship by drawing away with Atlético-GO (1-1).
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The losing streak for "Big Flu" continues and has now reached five consecutive matches: defeats to Botafogo (0-1), Atlético-GO (1-2), Cruzeiro Minero (0-2), Flamengo (0-1), and Vitória Bahia (0-1). Fluminense's winless streak in the championship has now extended to nine matches. The team's only victory was in a home game against Vasco da Gama back in the third round. Since then, they have managed to collect just two points. And yes, the "Team of Warriors" has one point less than Grêmio, despite having played two more matches. In terms of away matches, Fluminense is the worst team in the league: five games, five losses, with a goal difference of 2-10.
In this match at the "Arena Grêmio," we will see the two biggest underachievers at the start of the current season - the teams occupying the last two positions in the table. Yes, in a battle of the bottom dwellers, there can be no clear favorite. But I will still give a slight preference to the hosts for several reasons. One is, of course, the home-field advantage. Fluminense has yet to earn any points away from home this season, while Grêmio has won at least twice on their home turf. The second reason is that the team from Rio has played two more matches in the championship than their opponent but has fewer points. And the third reason is head-to-head encounters. Grêmio has historically been a difficult opponent for Fluminense. The "Team of Warriors" has not been able to defeat the "Musketeers" in the last six consecutive matches. Furthermore, in all six of these previous encounters, Grêmio has emerged victorious. This includes last season when they won both matches against their opponent (2-1 and 3-2). My prediction is a draw no bet on the hosts.
Prediction for the match: Gremio to win.
