Neither side managed to qualify for the World Cup, and both are using these fixtures to begin a new chapter. While Greece will have home advantage, Italy arrives with a talented young squad eager to make an impression on the international stage.
Greece endured a disappointing qualification campaign and has yet to show signs of significant improvement. Ivan Jovanović's team finished only third in its group and has struggled to find momentum in recent friendlies. The Greeks are currently winless in four consecutive matches, with draws against Hungary and Sweden following a defeat to Paraguay. Although the team remains competitive, the lack of victories suggests there is still considerable work to do before Greece can return to the level of Europe’s stronger national sides.
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Italy is also rebuilding after another painful failure to reach the World Cup. With the senior squad undergoing major changes, interim coach Silvio Baldini has used the current training camp to introduce several promising young players. The new-look Azzurri may lack experience, but they have already shown encouraging signs, defeating Luxembourg in their previous outing. The enthusiasm of the younger generation, combined with the leadership of goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma, gives Italy a solid foundation despite the absence of many established stars.
The hosts may be slight favorites on paper, but recent form does not fully justify that status. Greece has struggled for consistency, while Italy's youthful squad appears highly motivated and has already demonstrated its potential. The historical record also favors the visitors, who have not lost to Greece in their last seven meetings.
In our opinion, Italy is capable of extending that unbeaten run and leaving Greece with a positive result.
Italy not to lose (X2) 1.72


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