Germany take on the visitors Ukraine in a Friendly International match. The match will be played on Monday, June 3rd at Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg).
Germany's mixed performance in friendlies. The German national team has left a mixed impression in their friendly matches, having not played official games for a long time ahead of the home Euro. On the one hand, they secured wins against France (2-0 and 2-1) and a strong Netherlands team (2-1). However, the Germans have also delivered some frankly weak performances in their friendlies over the past two years. For example, they lost to Poland (0-1), Austria (0-2), Turkey (2-3), Colombia (0-2), and Japan (1-4). It’s clear that these results shouldn’t be projected onto the upcoming tournament. At the Euro, Germany will inherently be one of the main contenders for the title. However, it's far from certain that the Bundesteam will easily and confidently defeat a solid Ukraine team shortly before the tournament begins.
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Ukraine currently represents a strong national team that could very well play the role of a dark horse in the upcoming tournament and progress quite far. Most of the yellow-blue players are part of European teams, with many in leading roles. Under Serhiy Rebrov, they could have qualified for the Euro without the playoffs, but they were in a very tough qualifying group with Italy and England. While there's room for improvement in Ukraine's defense, their players fully compensate for defensive shortcomings with excellent attacking play, making them somewhat similar to the Germans in this respect. Ukraine hasn't lost often in recent years. In their last 35 matches, they have only been defeated by more than one goal three times, and two of those defeats were against England.
Less than a year ago, the yellow-blue faced Germany in a friendly match in Bremen. Most expected an easy win for the Germans. However, Ukraine led 2-1 after the first half and increased their lead to 3-1 in the second half. Germany managed to avoid defeat thanks to efforts from Havertz and Kimmich in the final ten minutes, resulting in a 3-3 draw. I think it will be difficult for Germany to secure an easy victory this time as well. Moreover, they are unlikely to exert themselves too much ahead of the Euro to win by a large margin in a meaningless friendly. On the other hand, it's crucial for Ukraine to play well against the Euro host to maintain confidence and composure before the tournament. My prediction is a (+1.5) handicap on the visitors.
Prediction for the match: Ukraine to win with +1.5 handicap.
