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Germany vs Italy Prediction 23 March 2025

Germany vs Italy Prediction 23 March 2025

Germany take on the visitors Italy in the second leg of UEFA Nations League quarterfinals. First leg result: 2-1. The match will be played on Sunday, March 23rd at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

Germany looks strong again under their current manager. Die Mannschaft had struggled for nearly a decade after their 2014 World Cup triumph, often failing to meet expectations and even suffering outright failures. Things got so bad that Hansi Flick became the first German national team coach to be fired—a scenario unprecedented in their history. His dismissal followed a disastrous run in friendly matches. However, that decision paid off: Julian Nagelsmann not only revitalized the squad but also elevated them to a new level of quality. At the Euros, Germany played exciting football, with only Spain ending their run—although they were the only team to push La Roja into extra time. Afterward, they topped a group featuring Bosnia (beating them twice), Hungary, and even the Netherlands (taking four points off them). They carried that momentum into their next matches, including a victory in Milan. Furthermore, Nagelsmann's tactical flexibility and squad depth continue to yield impressive results.

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Italy experienced a major setback following their triumphant Euro 2020 campaign, failing to qualify for a second consecutive World Cup. Soon after, Roberto Mancini left for Saudi Arabia, and even under Luciano Spalletti, questions remained. They stumbled in qualifiers and only edged out Ukraine due to a superior head-to-head record. At the Euros, they barely scraped into the knockout stage after scoring a late equalizer against Croatia, only to fall 0-2 to Switzerland in the Round of 16. In the Nations League, they started with a strong win in France but ultimately slipped to second place after losing to Les Bleus in the final match. At home against Germany, Tonali gave them an early lead, but they faded badly and lost 1-2 without much resistance. Additionally, their struggles in both attack and defense suggest they are still far from their former dominant selves.

Before this meeting, Germany had gone unbeaten in six consecutive matches against Italy, though they won only twice in that span. Even away from home, Germany proved to be the stronger side, and they should secure another victory here. A bet on a German win looks like the best option.

Prediction for the match: Germany to win.

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Sam Wilson
Sports tipster