Germany take on Denmark in the 1/8-final match of UEFA Euro-2024. The match will be played on Saturday, June 29th at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).
Germany was great 10 years ago – that was the last time they became World Cup champions. Some of the heroes from that campaign are still on the field (well, Neuer in goal). By the way, Kroos is playing his last major tournament and will retire afterwards. Germany entered the Euro with significant expectations, as they are hosting the tournament. However, there were also justifiable concerns. The team failed in the 2022 World Cup, not making it out of the group stage (similar to 2018), and looked dismal in friendly matches. As a result, officials took an extraordinary step by their standards, changing the coach during preparations: Flick was replaced by Nagelsmann, just as he had been at Bayern. Nagelsmann’s autumn wasn’t smooth either, but in 2024, Germany looked interesting in friendlies. They opened the Euro by simply demolishing their opponent, a supposedly solid Scotland. They then defeated Hungary, primarily thanks to Gündogan, who scored a goal and provided an assist. Against Switzerland, they were trailing, but fortunately, Füllkrug came off the bench and scored a late goal to secure a 1-1 draw.
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Denmark went through the group stage pragmatically, but may have outsmarted themselves. Dynamite is remembered for their dramatic story at the last Euro. After losing Eriksen and suffering a couple of defeats at the start, the team improved so much that they were stopped only in extra time by England in the semifinals at Wembley (and, according to many, not without some referee interference). However, in Qatar, the Danes were brought back to Earth – they failed to progress from their group at the World Cup. Their Euro qualification last year also lacked flair and didn't show any clear advantage over Slovenia. They started against Slovenia in Germany and ultimately lost their lead in the closing stages. Furthermore, they drew with both England and Serbia – ending up on par with the boys. As a result, by the end of the group stage, both teams had identical records. However, diving into the nuances of the regulations, the Danes were awarded second place due to a yellow card received by a member of the Slovenian coaching staff. But the Slovenians likely won't mind – by finishing second, Hjulmand's team now faces Germany...
The Danes still have the upper hand, with 4 wins compared to Germany’s 2. However, Germany won at Euro 2012, after which the neighbors played to a draw twice in friendly matches. Bookmakers favor Germany. But considering their results in the 2nd and 3rd rounds and the likelihood that the opponent will defend Schmeichel’s goal, we recommend betting on total goals under 2.5.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
