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Genoa vs Lecce Prediction 14 March 2025

Genoa vs Lecce Prediction 14 March 2025

Genoa take on the visitors Lecce in the round 29 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Friday, March 14th at Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa).

Genoa went through turbulent times after American investors took over the club, leading to mistakes that even resulted in a drop to Serie B. However, the inexperienced Alberto Gilardino managed to secure immediate promotion and then stabilized the team in mid-table. Still, the summer transfer window posed serious challenges, compounded by a long-term injury to Malinovskyi. Gilardino struggled to handle these setbacks, but a coaching change brought improvement. Under Patrick Vieira, Genoa started picking up points at a solid rate, though now it’s having an unintended side effect. With no relegation threat looming, the squad lacks motivation, leading to lackluster performances—though defeats remain rare. Even against Cagliari in the last round, they could only manage a draw. That result extended their winless streak to four matches, highlighting their current dip in form.

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Lecce remains stuck in a familiar cycle. The "Giallorossi" are far from being a fixture in Serie A, and simply maintaining their status in the top flight is a significant achievement for the modest club. They managed to do so last season, even after a controversial coaching change in spring, when D'Aversa was dismissed following an altercation with an opposing player. Despite the chaos, Lecce accumulated 38 points—exactly one per match on average—to finish in 14th place. Now, Marco Giampaolo has taken charge, but not much has changed, for better or worse. The team remains in the relegation battle but has managed to stay above the bottom three with some degree of comfort. However, their February form raised concerns, as they initially went goalless in consecutive 0-0 draws before suffering narrow 0-1 defeats to Udinese and Fiorentina. Against Milan, they managed to score twice but still fell short in a 2-3 loss. Their away struggles continue, with just one win in their last 10 road matches.

Two years ago, Lecce secured their first head-to-head victory over Genoa since 2006. However, in this season’s reverse fixture, they had to settle for a draw. Genoa is overdue for a win to please their fans, and Lecce is unlikely to pose a major obstacle. Backing Malinovskyi and company to secure a home victory looks like the best bet.

Prediction for the match: Genoa to win.

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