France take on the visitors Luxemburg in a Friendly International match. The match will be played on Wednesday, June 4th at Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz).
France are undoubtedly the new European flagship among national teams. While they couldn't replicate Spain's achievement of winning back-to-back Euros and a World Cup, Deschamps has already led them to three finals out of four. However, only in 2018 did they succeed in winning the World Cup. They came very close to defending their title in Qatar, but Argentina edged them out in the final via penalties. Before that, they had a disappointing Euro campaign, and they are keen to avoid a repeat of that. The French confidently and solidly navigated the qualifiers, securing seven consecutive wins, including two against the Dutch. Only after securing the top spot did they settle for a draw against Greece in the final round. It seems there were motivation issues in the spring as well, as they lost 0-2 at home to Germany and then narrowly defeated Chile 3-2 in a shootout.
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Luxembourg missed its chance. Under Holtz, The Red Lions have certainly improved compared to the time when he played in the jersey of a recognized underdog. Now they are a solid and tough mid-tier team, finishing last year's Euro qualifiers with more points than Bosnia (whom they beat twice, including 4-1) and Iceland (from whom they took 4 out of 6 possible points). Still, this only earned them third place in the final standings. They had a good chance to make it to the Euros through the Nations League path but stumbled at the first step in March, losing 0-2 to Georgia. Georgia eventually qualified for the championship. Gerson Rodrigues and company are now preparing for their next official matches. Despite the setback, they performed well in a friendly: three days after the loss to Georgia, they secured a come-from-behind 2-1 home victory over Kazakhstan.
Les Bleus haven't lost to their neighbor for decades, amassing nearly half a dozen victories. Only in the last match, in 2017, did the favorites fail to win at home, ending in a 2-2 draw with saves by Joubert. The host team is undoubtedly much stronger. However, in this match, they don't really need a result—players are likely to be more concerned about avoiding injury than the potential outcome. A pragmatic choice would be to bet on total under 4.0 goals.
Prediction for the match: Under 4.0 scored goals.