France take on the visitors Israel in the round 5 match of UEFA Nations League group stage. The match will be played on Thursday, November 14th at Stade de France (Paris - Saint-Denis).
France have consistently performed better in World Cups: they claimed the title in 2018 and, two years ago in Qatar, narrowly lost to Argentina in the final on penalties. Their Euro performance this summer was decent, reaching the semifinals before losing 2-1 to Spain, the eventual champions. However, it’s worth noting that many of their goals came from penalties or own goals. The autumn cycle began with a shock 1-2 loss to Italy, but they bounced back to win all three following matches, twice over Belgium and once against Israel. Injuries to star players and a scandal involving their captain, Mbappé, taking leave in Sweden didn’t hinder them. However, if they slip up now, the final round against the “Azzurri” will merely be a formality instead of a fight for first place.
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Israel couldn’t keep up at this level. The “Blue and Whites” have yet to qualify for a European Championship and didn’t make it to the tournament in Germany either. Their playoff hopes ended in March with a 1-4 loss to Iceland. Still, in the last Nations League cycle, they managed to top their group and earn promotion to the elite division. Yet everyone expected them to be clear underdogs, merely hoping to snag points against a top team. Moreover, there have been discussions around a possible suspension of the Israeli team. A close call came against Italy, who they lost to 1-2—though their lone goal came in the 90th minute. In other matches, they conceded three or four goals but reliably managed to score one of their own.
Israel has only one win in nine encounters, back in 1993. “Les Coqs” have won five times, including a 4-1 victory in October. “Les Bleus” are expected to maximize their outcome in this matchup. Despite the circumstances surrounding this game, even without Griezmann and Mbappé, they should secure a win with a “-2 goal” handicap.
Prediction for the match: France to win with -2.0 handicap.
