Fortaleza take on Juventude in the round 13 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, June 30th at Castelão (Fortaleza).
Fortaleza finished in 10th place in Série A last season. In the current championship, the team is living up to its status as a mid-table side, sitting in 11th place in the standings. They have been performing fairly well, starting with an away victory over São Paulo (2-1). Then, for five consecutive rounds, they went undefeated. In total, they have suffered only two losses in 11 matches, both away games. On their home turf, the "Tricolor of Steel" are much stronger than on the road, having collected 12 of their 17 points at home. Initially, Fortaleza played to a draw in three consecutive home matches, but they are currently on a three-game home winning streak, with victories over Atlético Paranaense (1-0), Grêmio (1-0), and Palmeiras (3-0).
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While Fortaleza thrashed the reigning champion of the country (3-0) in the latest round, Juventude lost to Palmeiras (1-3) in the previous round. Yes, some might say that the "Parrots" are not inferior to the "Tricolor of Steel" at the start of the current season, as the teams are neighbors in the table with only one point separating them. But while Fortaleza excels at home, and this match is a home game for them, Juventude is objectively poor on the road. Apart from the aforementioned loss to Palmeiras, the "Parrots" have already lost away to Bragantino (1-2) and Botafogo (1-5) in this championship. They have collected just two points from five away matches in Série A.
In this match between two neighboring teams in the standings, the bookmakers consider the "Tricolor of Steel" the favorites. And I tend to agree with them. Yes, Fortaleza won’t have an easy time, but they are fully capable of taking three points at home. After all, they have a stronger squad and more experience playing in Série A in recent years. Additionally, the home field advantage is significant. Fortaleza has been playing excellently at home this season, while away games are a weak spot for Juventude. It is also worth noting that in two of the last three encounters between these teams in the state of Ceará, the hosts have been stronger: 4-1 and 1-0.
Prediction for the match: Fortaleza to win with 0.0 handicap.
