Fortaleza take on the visitors Fluminense in the round 15 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, July 7th at Castelão (Fortaleza).
Fortaleza has been performing quite well this season for a club of its level, sitting roughly in the middle of the table. While the "Tricolor of Steel" may look relatively weak in away games, they have been fantastic at home. Out of their 20 points in Serie A, Fortaleza has secured 15 on their home turf. At the start of the championship, the team played to a draw in three consecutive home matches. However, they have since won four straight home games, defeating Atlético Paranaense (1-0), Grêmio (1-0), Palmeiras (3-0), and Juventude (2-1).
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Given these results, it’s reasonable to consider Fortaleza as the favorite for the upcoming match on their home ground especially against the current Fluminense, which has been performing terribly this season. The one point they earned in their last match, a home draw against Internacional, is their only point in the past seven championship games. In those matches, the "Warriors" from Rio have lost both at home and away. Notably, Fluminense has been particularly poor in away games this season, losing all six of them: against Bahia (1-2), Corinthians (0-3), São Paulo (1-2), Botafogo (0-1), Cruzeiro (0-2), and Grêmio (0-1).
Fluminense is the worst team in the league at the moment. The hosts of the upcoming match have amassed 13 points more than their opponents, who have only seven points in total. This is despite Fortaleza having played one less match in the championship. To me, the favorite for this match is obvious. The "Tricolor of Steel" has been outstanding in their home games this season, while the "Tricolor from Rio" has yet to earn any points on the road in Serie A. In their last encounter at home, Fortaleza defeated Fluminense (4-2). I'm betting on a victory for the hosts this time as well.
Prediction for the match: Fortaleza to win.
