Fluminense take on Vitoria in the round 12 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Friday, June 28th at Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro).
The slump of the four-time national champions has been going on for too long. Last season, the "Team of Warriors" finished seventh in Serie A, and in the current season, after 11 rounds, Fluminense is at the bottom of the table. Their only victory was secured back in April in a home match against Vasco da Gama (2-1). Since then, the "Tricolores of Rio" have played nine more league matches and collected only two points. Heading into the match against Vitória Bahia, the home team is on a streak of four consecutive losses: against Botafogo (0-1), Atlético-GO (1-2), Cruzeiro Mineiro (0-2), and Flamengo (0-1).
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Vitória Bahia, who were the champions of Serie B last season, also didn't shine in the elite league at the start. Essentially, the "Tricolores" have only three points more than Fluminense. However, it’s worth noting that the team has significantly improved lately. After losing away to the solid "Bulls" from Bragantino (1-2) in their previous game, Vitória ended their unbeaten run of four Serie A matches: victories over Internacional (2-1) and Atlético Mineiro (4-2), and draws with Juventude (1-1) and Cuiabá (0-0). In the battle between two teams in the relegation zone, I can't see a situation where one would dominate the other in terms of score. I think if the visitors lose, it will be by a margin of only one goal, no more.
Bookmakers continue to expect a turnaround from "Big Flu," believing in them from match to match, judging by the odds. However, the players from Rio keep failing to win. I have to disagree with the notion that the home team is the favorite for the upcoming match. One victory in 11 rounds is not convincing. Meanwhile, Vitória has almost stopped losing recently. Plus, if we look at the results of head-to-head matches between the "Team of Warriors" and the representatives from Salvador, we see that Fluminense has never beaten this opponent by more than one goal. Based on all of the above, I would go with a bet on the "handicap (+1) for the visitors."
Prediction for the match: Vitoria to win with +1.0 handicap.
