Fiorentina take on the visitors Monza in the round 36 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Monday, April 13th at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).
Fiorentina managed to advance to the final of the League Cup, knocking out Belgian side Club Brugge in the semi-finals (3-2 win at home and a draw away (1-1)). However, Vincenzo Italiano's side won't play in that tournament until late May, and before that encounter, the team will play two matches in Serie A, where the battle for European qualification berths is in full swing. In the match against Monza, the violets are considered favorites as they play at home and are motivated to win. However, I don't think they will keep a clean sheet. As you can see, Brugge scored against Fiorentina in both matches. In Serie A, regardless of the result, the purple side conceded in eight out of the last ten matches. Recent examples include a victory over Sassuolo (5-1), draws with Roma (2-2) and Genoa (1-1), and a defeat to Verona (1-2).
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Monza don't vie for top spots or European qualification berths but always keep a safe distance from the relegation zone. This season, the white-reds are playing without any moral pressure, enjoying themselves, and are not hesitant to attack even in away matches. In the past ten Serie A rounds, Monza failed to score only against two very defensive teams: Bologna and Torino. In their last three league matches, the team both scored and conceded goals: draws with Lecce (1-1) and Lazio (2-2) and a defeat to Atalanta (1-2).
As the current season draws to a close, Fiorentina are competing on two fronts, simultaneously playing in the league and the League Cup. Footballers aren't robots, and their fatigue inevitably affects match results. Considering this, I'm not inclined to bet on the hosts' victory against a solid Monza side at odds of 1.55. In my opinion, for such odds, it's better to either take the handicap (+1.5) for the visitors or simply bet on a goal from the away team. After much deliberation, I lean towards the latter option. Monza have been scoring consistently lately, while Fiorentina have been consistently conceding. In four head-to-head matches against this opponent, the violets managed to keep a clean sheet only once. My prediction - Visitors to score: YES.
Prediction for the match: Monza to score – yes.