Fiorentina take on the visitors Dynamo Kyiv in the round 5 match of UEFA Conference League – League Phase. The match will be played on Thursday, December 11th at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).
Fiorentina have already changed their manager, but the situation remains difficult. The Violets reached the final of this tournament twice under Italiano, though they lost the decisive match both in 2023 and 2024. Last season, Palladino secured 6th place after a tight battle with Lazio, with both clubs finishing on 65 points. In the summer, the club appointed Pioli, but things went wrong from the start, and he failed to win a single Serie A match before being dismissed in November. Under the new manager, Vanoli, the beginning has been even worse, as the team continues to suffer defeats. Only in the Conference League have the Italians impressed: they beat Ukrainian side Polissya twice in the qualifiers, despite being 0-2 down at home, and then defeated both Sigma and Rapid Vienna in the main stage. However, they lost to Mainz at home under the previous coach, and with Paolo in charge they somehow managed to fall 0-1 at home to AEK. Overall, Fiorentina’s European form contrasts sharply with their domestic struggles, highlighting their inconsistency this season. Despite their poor league performance, they often look more structured and confident in continental fixtures.
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Dynamo Kyiv claimed the league title only six months ago, completing the entire Ukrainian Premier League campaign without a single defeat. However, even then their European form was poor, and they lost the domestic cup final to Shakhtar on penalties. This season, their only meaningful success was taking revenge on the Miners in the cup. In the Premier League, they were defeated by Shakhtar, and then by LNZ and Kolos, effectively ending their hopes of defending the title. On the international stage, they opened with wins, but the opponent was modest Hamrun Spartans. They then lost consecutively to Pafos in the Champions League and Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Europa League. In the current competition, they began with defeats to both Crystal Palace and Samsunspor, even though neither had prior European experience. After a 6-0 win against Breidablik, they immediately lost to Omonia, and Shovkovskyi was dismissed before the team returned from Cyprus. Kostyuk, acting as interim coach, lost at home to newcomers Poltava before narrowly beating another newly promoted side, Kudrivka, 2-1. Dynamo’s form suggests a team completely lacking stability and unable to build momentum from match to match. Their defensive frailty and difficulty responding under pressure have become recurring themes throughout the autumn.
The clubs met in 1989 and 2015. Both times, Fiorentina drew away and won comfortably at home. A meeting of two struggling giants, but the Italians have home advantage. The recommendation is to back Fiorentina with a -1 handicap.
Prediction for the match: Fiorentina to win with -1.0 handicap.
