Finland take on the visitors England in the round 4 match of UEFA Nations League group stage. The match will be played on Sunday, October 13th at Helsinki Olympic Stadium (Helsinki).
Finland faces tough challenges. The "Owls" recently reached their peak, making their debut at the Euros. However, they've since slipped a bit, not to the point of becoming an underdog, but they're now struggling to do more than hold their place among the mid-tier teams. Additionally, Markku Kanerva's squad has taken some blows to their confidence lately. In March, they were crushed 1-4 by Wales in a playoff match. Then, in the Nations League, Pukki and his teammates suffered defeats not only to England but also to Greece. Heading into the game against Ireland, it was clear how important a win would be. Despite taking the lead, they collapsed in the second half and lost 1-2.
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England is only truly struggled once under Southgate, during last season’s Nations League. Otherwise, his era will be remembered as a period of consistent success for the "founders of football." However, it wasn’t without its issues: two Euro final losses and a playing style that was often dull, only made bearable by the positive results. Now, it's crucial for England to find a coach who can maintain that level while improving the style of play. It’s no surprise they’re taking their time with this decision. Lee Carsley, the U21 coach who’s serving as interim manager this fall, wouldn’t mind following in Southgate’s footsteps. He’s using the Nations League, with its relatively easy lineup of opponents, as a platform to showcase his ideas and potential. After 2-0 victories in September against the group’s underdogs, Ireland and Finland, England faced their main competitor, Greece. At Wembley, there was a shocking result, with Bellingham’s 87th-minute goal giving hope, but Pavlidis scored in stoppage time to seal a 2-1 win for the visitors—a blow to Carsley’s dreams.
Out of their last seven meetings, England has won five and drawn two, including victories in their two most recent clashes. Finland is currently on the decline. Bet on the "Three Lions" to win with a -1.5 goal handicap for the visitors.
Prediction for the match: England to win with -1.5 handicap.