England take on the visitors Ireland in the round 6 match of UEFA Nations League group stage. The match will be played on Sunday, November 17th at Wembley Stadium (London).
England reached their second consecutive Euro final this past summer. However, as with their previous attempt, Gareth Southgate's squad fell short, this time decisively outclassed by Spain. Following the defeat, Southgate stepped down. Interim manager Lee Carsley took over and openly expressed his desire to become the permanent head coach. While England secured wins against group underdogs Ireland and Finland under his leadership, a surprising home loss to Greece disrupted their campaign. Shortly after, it was announced that Thomas Tuchel would take over as full-time manager starting in 2025. Carsley is now leading his final matches in charge. Last week, despite a depleted roster, England redeemed themselves with a dominant 3-0 win in Athens.
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Ireland found strength when it mattered most. The "Boys in Green" haven’t qualified for a major tournament since Euro 2016. In last year's qualifiers, they managed only two wins, both against Gibraltar, and lost all other games. Expectations for their new manager, Heimir Hallgrímsson, were modest—simply avoiding last place was the primary goal. True to form, Ireland failed to secure points against the group’s stronger teams. However, they pulled off a spirited comeback in Helsinki, with Robbie Brady delivering both an assist and a goal to seal the victory. Heading into their final home match against Finland, Ireland exceeded expectations with a solid 1-0 win in Dublin last Thursday.
The two sides have met 12 times. England have only lost once but have also struggled to dominate, recording just four wins against their neighbors. That said, England emerged victorious in both of their most recent encounters. England have shown resilience under Carsley despite the managerial uncertainty. The 3-0 victory against Greece demonstrates the squad’s depth and ability to perform under pressure. Meanwhile, Ireland’s recent victories showcase their grit, but their lack of consistency against higher-quality opposition remains a glaring weakness. The hosts are significantly stronger in terms of talent and depth. Expect England to assert their dominance and secure a comfortable victory. A bet on England to win with a handicap of -1.5 goals looks like a solid option, with a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline being plausible.
Prediction for the match: England to win with -1.5 handicap.
